Rolled steel demand and economy are added fast and located development phase is close together and relevant. Although our country still is in industrialization and city to change level, but because at present economy is added fast drop especially our country estate goes situation downward, the demand of rolled steel nots allow evenly hopeful. At present economic policy is loosened somewhat, thereby can speed of amortize economy be issued to lower levels, produce positive effect to rolled steel demand, to profit of steel look forward to also somewhat amortize.

Economic environment makes rolled steel supply and demand is added fast all drop. In the past two months, because crop of our country crude steel is glided continuously by the influence crop of price fall and Olympic Games, crude steel output grew 2.4 percent merely compared to the same period August, drop than June 4.4 million tons, and because exit achieved 7.68 million record-breaking tons August, because consumption of apparent of domestic steel products was compared instead this August,the corresponding period dropped last year 3.2 percent. Appear the reason of this kind of circumstance besides Olympic Games element, more important is rolled steel price drops to had made considerably partial company loss, thereby automatic reduction of output causes.

Metaphase looks, trade situation bearing will keep low fan. Steely industry experienced regale of a boom together along with Chinese economy, but the time that economic adjustment often can grow quite continuously, because of demand of this rolled steel add fast also will subsequently and move. Ability of supply of steel products of home of second half of the year still can have a small climax that release, this aggravate the market competes. This part new increase production can be mixed because of deficit unused yield can form those who promote ton of steel profit the space together " pressure line " , accordingly although actual output is added fast reduce ceaselessly, but this can explain demand is added only fast also reducing.

Company profit is compressed as a result of coal price tigidity apparent. From June the middle ten days of a month arrives at the beginning of September, rolled steel price dropped on average 12% , homebred ore price also immediately is reduced on average 20% , but because the supply and demand of coal slants evenly,tighten, accordingly cooking coal rose in price 15% , dynamical coal price rose on average 12% . The tigidity of coal price makes profit compresses ton of steel apparent, rough estimation, the rolled steel that uses homebred former fuel entirely at present ton steel profit is compared at the beginning of June reduce 350-400 on average or so yuan, this creates partial company as a result of deficit stop production. Because grow only import,ore and freight of sea length sheet have a lock to decide cycle, because this uses the company of ore of long only import and sea freight ton steel profit is morer than the reductive at the beginning of June. Anyhow, produce in dormancy can " pressure line " below, ton steel profit will be maintained low.
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